RIGHT NOW: Showers and thunderstorms rumbled through most of the area earlier today, but at the moment the radar view is looking rather quiet this evening:
Our 6 PM ET temperatures are all over the place, cooler in the east where the rain has been most recently, and warmer to the west and north where the sun has been out the longest:
Tonight, I think most spots will stay rain free, but this is also the time of year where it is tough to take the chance of rain out completely, even overnight. Lows will dip back to the upper 60s and lower 70s.
INDEPENDENCE DAY WEEKEND: Our FutureCast (RPM) keeps most of the showers and storms well to our north during the day tomorrow, and all week long, we have targeted Friday as a day with a slightly lower coverage of showers and thunderstorms. We'll expect rain-free conditions for most spots, but will still forecast a 20-30% coverage of rain and storms during the afternoon and evening. For Independence Day and Sunday, the rain coverage goes up a bit, so we want you to have a backup plan in case you have outdoor activities planned during the day. The good news is that we expect the rain coverage to be declining in time for fireworks celebrations planned across the Valley. We hope that will be the case for everyone, but have the free WTVM weather app handy to track any showers or storms this weekend!
NEXT WEEK: We'll start off next week a lot like the way we ended the last - tracking several disturbances in the upper flow that will create the chance for afternoon and evening showers and storms. The rain coverage will be around 40% or so for Monday and Tuesday with highs in the upper 80s and lower 90s. By the time we head into the middle and end of next week, the rain coverage should drop back down a little bit with ridging taking the place of the trough in the East. Because of this, highs should recover into the lower 90s on Wednesday and Thursday.
STAY CONNECTED: Don't forget, you can get the latest forecast updates on Twitter & Facebook. The weather tab at WTVM.com has great weather information as well (including LIVE Doppler 9, a link to sign up for daily weather emails, and our ALFA Skycams). My personal Facebook page is also updated with the latest weather info and various thoughts and musings of mine!
Chief Meteorologist Derek Kinkade, WTVM / WXTX